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Table 2 Estimation of the excess of deaths

From: A Bayesian spatio-temporal analysis of mortality rates in Spain: application to the COVID-19 2020 outbreak

  Deaths
Observed Projecteda Excessb
< 50 years 15,543 15,817 − 274
50–64 years 48,191 42,498 5693
65–74 years 67,230 56,608 10,622
75 or more years 368,140 312,047 56,093
  499,104 426,970 72,134
  1. aSpatio-temporal models: means of the posterior probability distribution
  2. bObserved minus projected
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Population Health Metrics

ISSN: 1478-7954